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leeds



Member Since: 28 Dec 2009
Location: West Yorkshire
Posts: 8581

United Kingdom 
Well shall I start? Any discussion to be held in a polite, meaningful manner without resulting to trading in insults or derogatory terms etc


Now if the UK leaves the EU without being in the Customs Union or having a Free Trade Agreement with the EU the result is not 'no deal' but dealing on World Trade organisation tariff terms

What are the implications of having to trade on WTO terms?

Much has been said about the Northern Ireland border with Eire and the possibility of a hard border/backstop etc.

Nothing has been aired about the other UK Crown Dependencies or Oversea Territories. They are in a CU with the EU so we would have to trade with them on WTO terms, i.e. tariffs. So goods to/from Channel Islands, Isle of Man, Falkland Island etc will be subject to tariffs.

The UK imports 30% of its food from the EU so this will be subject to tariffs. Tariffs on food can exceed 100% depending on actual food. So unless by the 30th March, there is a FTA or UK stays in the CU expect your food prices in the shops to start rising.



Please discuss.



Brendan
Post #753567 24th Jan 2019 11:05am
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dorsetsmith



Member Since: 30 Oct 2011
Location: South West
Posts: 4554

food prices in the shops to start rising. Rolling with laughter Rolling with laughter Rolling with laughter Rolling with laughter Whistle start rising take look now
Post #753575 24th Jan 2019 11:21am
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Slideywindows



Member Since: 09 Sep 2016
Location: North Essex
Posts: 1283

England 
Can't argue with that Brendan.

However, few people who voted for Brexit, first sat down with a pencil and paper and worked out the possible effects on trade, inflation, unemployment, GDP, the Stock Market, the value of the pound etc.

In short, for most people voting for Brexit was not an intellectual decision.

It came from far deeper than that.


No uprising, revolution, fight for freedom or independence ever came from making such calculations in advance.

Nor did it come from the established political class.

Nor did it come from the business class.


It simply came from ordinary people feeling alienated from its rulers.

A gut feeling of "we've had enough, we are not going to take it any more".

Often when this happens, the economy suffers and things get "worse" for a time.

But no matter how bad things become, historically I can't think of a people who have ever asked its overseas rulers to come back "for the sake of the economy".


Our national broadcaster and other media concentrate solely on economic impacts.

Ignoring the fact that the human spirit does not live by "bread alone".


People who voted for Brexit are largely portrayed as stupid "little Englanders" who "didn't know what they were doing".

Which is just more of the same attitude that they were rebelling against in the first place!


In 20 years time the economic effects of Brexit will be forgotten.

In 20 years time, the political effects of remaining in an institution where a Prime Minister you probably didn't vote for, has just one twenty-eighth of a vote over what happens to you, will have become insufferable.

I hope that never happens.


( It is possible to discuss this subject without abusing anybody! Laughing)
Post #753592 24th Jan 2019 11:53am
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custom90



Member Since: 21 Jan 2010
Location: South West, England.
Posts: 20413

United Kingdom 
I think the jist is, everybody knew what they intended to vote for from all sides.
Those that say otherwise are merely muddying the water delibrately.

I will always be biased but I've (mainly.) only know vicious cracks made from one direction but there are exceptions.
I mean for example, this is not aimed at anyone here or anyone but those that made such comments I was reading comments from some on faceache the other day titling the whole thing as bre**it etc and expletive here and expletive there.
(These were random people, no connection with here at all I must stress.*)

You can't reason with anyone like that what ever you do, thank goodness on here is a nice place where on the whole people do respect one another.

This is where democracy comes in because it stands and is not an argument but a final decision.
The destination is decided, the route has been unnecessarily extended beyond requirement. (Deliberately.)

Beyond this there is little more to say. Now time to go out in the Def. Mr. Green $W33T $0U7H3RN $UG4R
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Post #753628 24th Jan 2019 1:33pm
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Badger110



Member Since: 06 Feb 2018
Location: South hams
Posts: 1039

United Kingdom 2011 Defender 110 Puma 2.4 USW Buckingham Blue
Slideywindows wrote:
Can't argue with that Brendan.

However, few people who voted for Brexit, first sat down with a pencil and paper and worked out the possible effects on trade, inflation, unemployment, GDP, the Stock Market, the value of the pound etc.

In short, for most people voting for Brexit was not an intellectual decision.

It came from far deeper than that.


No uprising, revolution, fight for freedom or independence ever came from making such calculations in advance.

Nor did it come from the established political class.

Nor did it come from the business class.


It simply came from ordinary people feeling alienated from its rulers.

A gut feeling of "we've had enough, we are not going to take it any more".

Often when this happens, the economy suffers and things get "worse" for a time.

But no matter how bad things become, historically I can't think of a people who have ever asked its overseas rulers to come back "for the sake of the economy".


Our national broadcaster and other media concentrate solely on economic impacts.

Ignoring the fact that the human spirit does not live by "bread alone".


People who voted for Brexit are largely portrayed as stupid "little Englanders" who "didn't know what they were doing".

Which is just more of the same attitude that they were rebelling against in the first place!


In 20 years time the economic effects of Brexit will be forgotten.

In 20 years time, the political effects of remaining in an institution where a Prime Minister you probably didn't vote for, has just one twenty-eighth of a vote over what happens to you, will have become insufferable.

I hope that never happens.


( It is possible to discuss this subject without abusing anybody! Laughing)


Thumbs Up
Post #753643 24th Jan 2019 2:29pm
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OsloBlue



Member Since: 14 Jul 2018
Location: Essex
Posts: 823

United Kingdom 2003 Defender 110 Td5 XS CSW Oslo Blue
leeds wrote:

The UK imports 30% of its food from the EU so this will be subject to tariffs. Tariffs on food can exceed 100% depending on actual food. So unless by the 30th March, there is a FTA or UK stays in the CU expect your food prices in the shops to start rising.

Whilst true it is also based on the European CAP (common agricultural policy) which is designed to be fair/unfair trade to allow near subsistence farmers to compete with highly productive & mechanised Western European farming practices.

Thus the a substantial amount of British farmland isn’t used for agriculture (or sometimes if it is used for agriculture isn’t used for food such as oilseed). Also strictly speaking a lot of food imported from the EU is “exotic” and can’t be grown in the Uk like bananas and such.

Whilst I’m not a farmer I’m in no real place to say how it affects British farmers, some of whom I imagine are on here. But in a global sense it seems silly to me that Farmers get paid to grow nothing when There are British families reliant on food banks yet along millions across the globe.

One observation I have seen is the common fisheries policy, when I was a child the fishing fleet at Leigh on sea was maybe 80 boats and a few trawlers, these days it’s about a dozen and a single trawler. Drinking in some of the pubs there are plenty of former fishermen who simply couldn’t catch due to stock depletion by other boats which aren’t native to our waters.

Seems stupid to me that other people can come here and take our resources because they’ve depleted their own. Surely it should be sustainably extracted and sold to where there is a requirement. If there is demand for it they should pay for it. I'm on IG: https://www.instagram.com/osloblue42/
Current: TD5 '110 "Lucinda" Thread here: https://www.defender2.net/forum/topic62562.html
Post #753647 24th Jan 2019 2:37pm
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Zed



Member Since: 07 Oct 2017
Location: In the woods
Posts: 3299

United Kingdom 2010 Defender 110 Puma 2.4 XS CSW Santorini Black
Re: BREXIT
CR wrote:
Im curious is there even one person who really believes they will be better off post "B" ?


Many have opinions on the matter but the truth is nobody has a clue how it will all turn out.

On the business side a large number of companies now plan to leave our shores because of Brexit, including those owned by prominent Brexiteers Sir James Dyson, Sir Jim Ratcliffe and Jacob Reese Mog.
Obviously job losses and a big reduction in tax revenue are inevitable but to what extent is anybody's guess.

Personally I am hopeful we can weather the storm but I've made contingency plans in case it all goes tits up.
Post #753649 24th Jan 2019 2:39pm
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leeds



Member Since: 28 Dec 2009
Location: West Yorkshire
Posts: 8581

United Kingdom 
As a small business which buys and sells not just into the EU but around the world I have serious concerns how it is going to effect us.

Now it has been said that Switzerland has 5 EU countries bordering it and does not have hard borders. What people do not mention is that it costs over double the amount of money to courier a parcel to Switzerland then any of its neighbouring countries. Extra costs is down to custom checks as Switzerland is not in the EU Custom Union. Any import duty and VAT is payable by Swiss customer.


What about some of the politicians recommending Brexit etc.?

Boris Johnson stood up at JCB congratulating JCB etc and brexit. What he did not mention he had just been paid £10,000 by JCB 3 days before hand.

David Davis is now being paid £60,000 by JCB for 20 hours work by JCB. What is average wage in UK? Sub £30,000?

Owner of JCB is an arch brexiteer.


Nice work if you can get it!




Brendan
Post #754048 26th Jan 2019 12:52pm
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custom90



Member Since: 21 Jan 2010
Location: South West, England.
Posts: 20413

United Kingdom 
Have you seen how much Mr Osborne. (Not a very nice man in my book!) has been paid though for new paper editing stuff.
I didn't have the figures to hand but I think it was something like £200k for one story.

Same goes for a certain local liberal mp, £3k + claimed off the tax payer for a printer.
Reason given, "I print a lot of stuff". Rolling Eyes Shocked

JRM funds any paperwork himself even though he would be entitled I believe to claim for it.

Again, Cameron spent vast amounts of tax payers funds on documentation too.

I think many businesses are struggling with or without Brexit and many that have been failing will seek to blame it for their own issues. (There was one in Cornwall the other week that had been struggling for 6 years.)

We've had much worse to deal with in the past, it will be okay.

There is also the fact that half of what you read these days can be completely made up too. $W33T $0U7H3RN $UG4R
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Post #754053 26th Jan 2019 1:04pm
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nitram17



Member Since: 08 Jun 2014
Location: newcastle
Posts: 2261

Re: Brexit.
Pickles wrote:
If there has already been a thread on this, I did a search but couldn't find it.
Anyway, apart from a very few brief comments, I can't find much on the forum, so as I'm a long way away, perhaps a few of you guys could give your opinion as to the current situation, & the efforts Theresa May is making to "resolve" the issue.
Like I said, obviously, I'm a long way away. But why are people blaming the PM?...All she can do is take the deal that the U.K want to the E.U. & try to get approval. But because EU don't like it. I can't see that replacing the P.M. or calling for her resignation would make any difference because it wouldn't change the "deal", which would simply be the same "deal" presented by a replacement P.M? In fact, IMHO the P.M. has shown tremendous resilience in trying to "sort" this.
We've actually heard that some who voted for Brexit now wish they hadn't?
Please, no "cynical" stuff, just looking for a few good opinions, so that I might have a better understanding of what is actually going on, and what the issues are?
Thank You, Pickles.


Whatever happens we will muddle through,its what we do!When the history bods look back in 50 years time it will see Cameron as a buffoon for triggering a binary referendum without putting a threshold on the votes needed to change our future ,as what i do know is that most votes are won by attracting the floating voter and to change our countries destiny on a 2.1%advantage is madness in my book!good luck to everbody who is trying to sort this mess out and respect to anybody on here who is certain what our future outside the eu holds for us!I really do hope you are right!
Post #754059 26th Jan 2019 1:37pm
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leeds



Member Since: 28 Dec 2009
Location: West Yorkshire
Posts: 8581

United Kingdom 
There is a big difference between a politician claiming for a printer, to an ex cabinet minister being paid for a speech promoting a company and a political decision that the company owner believes in.


As a small company our costs will increase and our sales into Europe will decrease if the U.K. leaves the Custom Union without a Free Trade Agreement.


Brendan
Post #754060 26th Jan 2019 1:40pm
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Procta



Member Since: 03 Dec 2016
Location: Sunderland
Posts: 5180

United Kingdom 
I recon the way things are going, Our government will go tits up before anything further happens. The EU may just call it all off, due to the farce its turned out to be. I cannot take any holidays at all until somthing happens now, due to our customers not been certain on what will happen sadly. Defender TD5 90 ---/--- Peugeot 306 HDI hatch back

Success is 90% Inspiration and 4 minutes Preparation # you can make it!
Post #754144 26th Jan 2019 8:12pm
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mk1collector



Member Since: 17 Sep 2009
Location: West Yorkshire
Posts: 6769

England 2004 Defender 110 Td5 CSW Bonatti Grey
The eu can’t call it off Ray
My build thread
http://www.defender2.net/forum/topic17615.html
Post #754154 26th Jan 2019 8:52pm
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dorsetsmith



Member Since: 30 Oct 2011
Location: South West
Posts: 4554

One way too

Click image to enlarge


solve global heater and stop B** Censored being spoKen
Post #754219 27th Jan 2019 8:12am
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Pickles



Member Since: 26 May 2013
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 3785

Australia 2013 Defender 90 Puma 2.2 CSW Keswick Green
I am in Aussie, a long way from you guys, but being born in England & spending the first 14 years of my life there, I will always consider myself "Ënglish", and I'm proud of my heritage......so I've been following Brexit, also I think the result will have world wide ramifications.
I have a friend who emigrated from the UK only a few years ago, so He's closer to the action than me. He said one of the reason some people voted for Brexit, was that as it stood, anyone from an EU Country could enter, work, or whatever come & live in the UK, at the expense of people who've always lived there, so voted for Brexit as post Brexit that would no longer be possible? Is this correct?
Another thing I've noticed is that a number of high profile people who were pushing for Brexit prior to the vote are no longer to be seen?
I also think the British PM is doing a ripper job, showing enormous strength of character trying to get the job done after being thrown in at the deep end. Can't see how a change in P.M. would make any difference at all to Brexit, and also believe that Corbyn would be a disaster for Britain, and the World.
I also don't read about, or hear about, many that voted for it.
Like I said, I'm a long way away, & obviously do not understand all the issues, but I think that many who voted for it didn't consider or understand what the ramifications would be either, & if they had their time again would possibly change their vote.
Anyway, just my thoughts, Pickles.
Post #754412 27th Jan 2019 9:36pm
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