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ickle



Member Since: 22 Jul 2010
Location: South Vendee
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From what I can understand (too young at the time as well) the initial EEC was a good thing, even as the EU with similar wealthy countries all would have been good. The problem started when all of the smaller, poorer countries were asked to join with virtually full rights of membership before they had economic stability and growth.

A vast amount of wealth has been created by a few people for themselves, but that's historically how the world works. There's something like 40% of the UK is owned by the same families since the Norman conquest.

One thing is for certain, leaving the EU will be extremely expensive, the rich won't pay, the poor can't so it will be PAYE middle England who will bear the burden and as the UK is still in huge post recession debt, anything the UK can save by not paying the EU will be swallowed by debt repayments and loss of GDP

The world won't end, things may get back to evens and might get better, but it will take many years before the good outweighs what the younger generations will lose.
Post #755086 30th Jan 2019 8:10pm
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Joe the Plumber



Member Since: 18 Dec 2013
Location: Midlands
Posts: 907

2014 Defender 110 Puma 2.2 HT Fuji White
A majority of 1,269,501 is a 'small margin'...?

There will be no risk to freedom of movement. You'll just have to fill in a bit more paperwork to do it. All those millions of non-European visitors to the UK and Europe every year seem to manage okay.

No one can say if there's any risk to future wealth either, as no-one has ever left the EU before. We'll all carry on trading, it will simply be done a different way and soon become normality.

I often wonder if remainers book a holiday to somewhere they've never previously visited but then always cancel it in case they don't like it.

Anyone would think, once we're out, the European continent was going to physically disappear. It's not. Stop worrying!
Post #755089 30th Jan 2019 8:14pm
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Happyoldgit



Member Since: 14 Sep 2007
Location: Norfolk
Posts: 3471

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This appeared inn my FB feed the other day, apparently first appearing in the Daily Fail about a week ago. I thought it was quite a good piece.



Click image to enlarge
 Steve.
Owned numerous Land Rover vehicles of all shapes and sizes over the decades.
Current Defender: A non tarts hand-bagged Puma 110 XS USW.

[Insert something impressive here such as extensive list of previous Land Rovers or examples of your prestigeous and expensive items, trinkets, houses, bikes, vehicles etc]

http://forums.lr4x4.com

I used to be Miserable ...but now I'm ecstatic.
Post #755093 30th Jan 2019 8:17pm
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RobKeay



Member Since: 19 Jul 2009
Location: Stafford
Posts: 1582

United Kingdom 2014 Defender 110 Puma 2.2 USW Corris Grey
Is 3.78% a majority? 22% didn’t even vote.

I am not really that worried. Just get on. Not sure how people can say it will be alright when even the politicians elected or non elected know what to do.

This debate always seems to stem angry comments and insults. Remainers call leavers racists and leavers comment even on remainers choice of holiday. The main political party stall for more time the opposition just sit back and watch the crash.
Post #755101 30th Jan 2019 8:39pm
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leeds



Member Since: 28 Dec 2009
Location: West Yorkshire
Posts: 8582

United Kingdom 
Results from electoral commission here


Number of local areas declared: 382/382
Remain: 16,141,241 (48.1%)

Leave: 17,410,742 (51.9%)

Total Electorate: 46,500,001

Turnout: 72.2%

Rejected Ballots: 25,359



So margin was 1.9% which is not exactly a massive margin.


Unfortunately from the very start of this process a lot of shall I say misinformation was given out from all sides.

A lot of sound bites are thrown abut with little understanding of what they . are actually mean. 'Leave means leave' . No deal etc.

Delingpole who is an arch brexiteer showed little understanding of what trading under WTO rules means on BBC question time.

The UK needs a free trade agreement with Europe. Europe is our closest trading partner which supplies 30% of the UK food.

According to House of Commons

Quote:


The EU, taken as a whole is the UK’s largest trading partner. In 2017, UK exports to the EU were £274 billion (44% of all UK exports). UK imports from the EU were £341 billion (53% of all UK imports).





73% of the medicines the UK imports comes from the EU.




Now if the UK leaves the EU under WTO terms then that is a lot of extra tariffs on UK imports and exports.

Free Trade Agreements and Most Favoured Nation agreements to lower tariffs takes years not months to negotiate.



Brendan
Post #755117 30th Jan 2019 9:37pm
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Zed



Member Since: 07 Oct 2017
Location: In the woods
Posts: 3310

United Kingdom 2010 Defender 110 Puma 2.4 XS CSW Santorini Black
Lateralus wrote:
Zed wrote:
There will always be difficulties discussing Mr Trump in a civilised environment because his extremist views provoke a reaction.


Can you give me some examples of extremist views President Trump has?



https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/0...mp;gwt=pay

https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/don...60bf777e83

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a...82736.html

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2018/11/mi...t-language
Post #755121 30th Jan 2019 9:49pm
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Slideywindows



Member Since: 09 Sep 2016
Location: North Essex
Posts: 1283

England 
It is going to be an utter disaster apparently.


I'm surprised we all survived the "millenium bug".

Never mind Dunkirk. Whistle


The fact that young people are apparently willing to give up the freedoms that previous generations died for , simply to maintain their lifestyle and material possessions, is not something they should be proud of.

The students of Budapest in 1956, of Prague in 1968 and the student in this video in Tiananman Square in 1989, did not risk their lives for tariff-free trade or frictionless travel.



Political freedom to appoint and remove the regime that governs you is worth any cost.

It is too late to realise that, once you have lost it.
Post #755128 30th Jan 2019 10:24pm
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Projectblue



Member Since: 22 Nov 2011
Location: Devon
Posts: 1096

England 
I find it all rather tiresome to be honest.

I totally accept the fact the majority under our system of election, won. But that doesn't means it sits well because as sure as those voting leave have a solid gut level instinct it's the right thing to do, I have a solid gut level instinct we were lied to.

We were lied to about the benefits, the disadvantages, the plans and the reality. We, the population, were lied to by our own politicians (because they knew f**k all) and by parties external to the UK. Be that EU or other member states.

So in other words, we just watched the England vs Argentina match and for many of us, the hand of Maradonna cheated us of the victory. For those on the winning side, it matters not. You won, and you are through. And just like a football match where one side is shouting foul, TV replay ref - the other side is shouting 'Shut up, it was fair'.

The end result is, we are British and rules is rules. As much as I dislike the outcome, we have to get on with it. If it works, I was for it all the time. If it's a fustercluck then I can blame you leave voters Rolling with laughter New project and it's green: www.projectoverland.info
Post #755137 30th Jan 2019 10:47pm
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RobKeay



Member Since: 19 Jul 2009
Location: Stafford
Posts: 1582

United Kingdom 2014 Defender 110 Puma 2.2 USW Corris Grey
You forgot to mention the crusades, boer war, First World War, Crimean war, war of the roses, Trafalgar, battle of Hastings, Korean War, Falkland’s war and both gulf wars. Plus loads of other battles, skirmishes and wars.

It takes a lot less energy to work with someone than to fight them. I am also very grateful that my family live in a house, safe, fed and watered.
Post #755141 30th Jan 2019 11:04pm
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davew



Member Since: 02 Jan 2012
Location: North Yorkshire
Posts: 888

England 1990 Defender 90 V8 Petrol PU Auto Rioja Red
Quote:

The EU, taken as a whole is the UK’s largest trading partner. In 2017, UK exports to the EU were £274 billion (44% of all UK exports). UK imports from the EU were £341 billion (53% of all UK imports).


You'd have thought that the EU would want to keep trading with the UK given that we import more than we export to the EU. Germany, in particular, is on the brink of a recession at the moment and is forecast to go into recession again this year and that is not going to be helped by a lack of a trade deal with one of their biggest export markets. It's also worth noting that the EU, though obviously a significant part of our exports, is not the majority of our exports.

There is also no differentiation in those figures with "double accountancy" where goods are exported and imported multiple times across the border currently, something that will presumably decrease if tariffs are imposed each time. It's unclear what proportion of the exports and imports are of that nature and how much of the EU exports to the UK originate outside the EU and only come through that route due to the current arrangements. In simplistic terms, I bought some parts for my VW van recently from a European distributor (in Germany). Looking at the packaging, the parts were made in the UK, shipped to Germany to a warehouse and then sold back to me in the UK. I wonder where that transaction fits into the import/export figures ? Again though we have no idea how much of our exports outside the EU originate with imports from the EU so it may be misleading. Ironically we'll get a better understanding of that if we leave the EU.

In the race to find the most disastrous possible outcome possible and then over analyse it to pieces on the TV, someone on the TV the other day was banging on about a no deal brexit resulting in a lack of bananas, I have to say that came as a shock to me as France isn't the first place I think of when it comes to growing Bananas in fact, in the list of top banana producing countries in the world not one EU country is mentioned but apparently the UK relies on the EU for it's banana imports. Ironically an ITC report actually showed that of the fruit we import (the majority of which is from outside the EU) we actually export bananas and oranges, among other fruit, to the EU ! Why would you let that get in the way of yet another doomsday report on the TV though. Brought to you by the impartial, national, publicly funded UK broadcaster that announced the UK had voted to remain in the EU after the referendum. The same ITC report seemed to show that we import a lot of vegetables from the EU but also export about the same amount to the EU. It also suggests we import a huge amount of potatoes from France.... and then export them to Ireland ! I wonder, when you take away the "convenience" of moving goods through the UK, how much of the items we "import" is actually just passing through.

Away from the restriction on trade imposed by the EU the UK can look to new markets. New Zealand, for example, a country we had to turn our back on when we joined the EU and we can also look to their experiences in setting up free trade deals with new trading partners. Something they had to do after we abandoned them due to EU rules and regulations.

We may have to look at NTBs and tariffs because, currently our NTBs are all imposed on us by the EU the UK has the chance to open up new markets outside the EU with countries and goods that have been previously excluded for no good reason. Leaving the EU gives the UK a freedom to build trade links across the world. Who knows, maybe we'll even be able to get decent tyres again ! NTBs such as CE marking will be optional although I assume that unless there is a specific reason not to, the UK will continue to align with them to simplify import/export so maybe we will have to put up with rubbish tyres anyway.

Given the current EU stance I expect we will drop out without a deal, if we leave, because the EU want the UK to choose between "no deal" and staying in the EU without representation. Ironically, Ireland are the biggest block to a deal and, at the same time, are predicting that a no deal Brexit will put Ireland into recession. I suspect the EU and Ireland are assuming and hoping that forcing a "no deal" will actually result in the UK postponing article 50 indefinitely. If they're honest, that is pretty much the intention of Westminster and those who don't want the UK to leave the EU. If you cannot accept a democratic decision then simply stall it and hope it goes away or try and force subsequent votes until you get the result you want.... I seem to recall the EU has a history of that particular tactic.

I worry for what the UK will become after/if it leaves the EU. I've always had a bit of a patriotic streak, too many war movies perhaps, maybe trailing around Germany as a kid when my dad was serving in the army. As long as I can remember I've been proud of the UK, proud to be a part of a country with a strong heritage, history and culture that has never willingly bowed down to external tyranny (leaving aside the internal ones !). The "remain" view seems to be that the UK is incapable of making it's own decisions, surviving without somehow being propped up by the EU. To suddenly find out that a good majority of the people resident in the UK have no pride in their country and no positive view of it's capabilities saddens me. It's ironic that the most rabid "remainers" are also Scottish nationalists, I've still not figured that one out. If we leave the EU and the "remainers" and "leavers" refuse to "pull together" to support the UK then, frankly, the remainers will prevent us moving forward and, in the end, will fulfil their own worst prophesies. If we don't leave the EU, what does that say about the democratic process and our political systems moving forward ? The wounds will probably take some time to heal, either that or we'll end up in a second civil war.

Finally, the UK has been a reluctantly accepted member of the EU club for a lot of years now. Originally we were blocked from joining because we were seen as a financial threat to France in particular and the EU was, after all, set up for the convenience of France and Germany. The conditions for joining included reducing our agriculture and fisheries output so that France could compete and we had to pay an ever increasing "membership fee" to make sure other countries could compete with the UK by using UK money to subsidise them. For all the talk of our "partners" and "friends" in the EU, I think we've seen from the Brexit process that nothing has changed since the early days. The EU has shown it's true colours and anyone who considers it's members as "friends" of the UK should have had a reality check. The EU is still a protectionist bullying organisation with aspirations of a "1000 year empire". The thought that a country might not want to be part of their empire reveals their true nature and it isn't a pretty sight. That in itself makes me think more and more that, regardless of the short term pain, the UK is better off walking away. http://www.yorkshireoffroadclub.net/
Post #755159 31st Jan 2019 1:35am
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Badger110



Member Since: 06 Feb 2018
Location: South hams
Posts: 1039

United Kingdom 2011 Defender 110 Puma 2.4 USW Buckingham Blue
Zed wrote:
Lateralus wrote:
Zed wrote:
There will always be difficulties discussing Mr Trump in a civilised environment because his extremist views provoke a reaction.


Can you give me some examples of extremist views President Trump has?



https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/0...mp;gwt=pay

https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/don...60bf777e83

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a...82736.html

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2018/11/mi...t-language



Never mind all that, he beat the opponent and this is just media hype.

*sarcasm off
Post #755199 31st Jan 2019 9:16am
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Birdy



Member Since: 07 Oct 2011
Location: Côte d'Azur
Posts: 866

France 2011 Defender 110 Puma 2.4 XS CSW Santorini Black
"Never mind Dunkirk"

Dunkirk? Isn't that the place where the French held off the Germans - at a cost of 16,000 killed and over 30,000 captured - to give the remnants of the British Army time to run away? Leaving half their country occupied by Nazis? The British only returning when the Americans thought they'd better step in to avoid the whole of Europe being overrun by Russia?

There are many ways of interpreting history...

Peter
Post #755239 31st Jan 2019 11:44am
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mk1collector



Member Since: 17 Sep 2009
Location: West Yorkshire
Posts: 6769

England 2004 Defender 110 Td5 CSW Bonatti Grey
davew wrote:
Quote:

The EU, taken as a whole is the UK’s largest trading partner. In 2017, UK exports to the EU were £274 billion (44% of all UK exports). UK imports from the EU were £341 billion (53% of all UK imports).


You'd have thought that the EU would want to keep trading with the UK given that we import more than we export to the EU. Germany, in particular, is on the brink of a recession at the moment and is forecast to go into recession again this year and that is not going to be helped by a lack of a trade deal with one of their biggest export markets. It's also worth noting that the EU, though obviously a significant part of our exports, is not the majority of our exports.

There is also no differentiation in those figures with "double accountancy" where goods are exported and imported multiple times across the border currently, something that will presumably decrease if tariffs are imposed each time. It's unclear what proportion of the exports and imports are of that nature and how much of the EU exports to the UK originate outside the EU and only come through that route due to the current arrangements. In simplistic terms, I bought some parts for my VW van recently from a European distributor (in Germany). Looking at the packaging, the parts were made in the UK, shipped to Germany to a warehouse and then sold back to me in the UK. I wonder where that transaction fits into the import/export figures ? Again though we have no idea how much of our exports outside the EU originate with imports from the EU so it may be misleading. Ironically we'll get a better understanding of that if we leave the EU.

In the race to find the most disastrous possible outcome possible and then over analyse it to pieces on the TV, someone on the TV the other day was banging on about a no deal brexit resulting in a lack of bananas, I have to say that came as a shock to me as France isn't the first place I think of when it comes to growing Bananas in fact, in the list of top banana producing countries in the world not one EU country is mentioned but apparently the UK relies on the EU for it's banana imports. Ironically an ITC report actually showed that of the fruit we import (the majority of which is from outside the EU) we actually export bananas and oranges, among other fruit, to the EU ! Why would you let that get in the way of yet another doomsday report on the TV though. Brought to you by the impartial, national, publicly funded UK broadcaster that announced the UK had voted to remain in the EU after the referendum. The same ITC report seemed to show that we import a lot of vegetables from the EU but also export about the same amount to the EU. It also suggests we import a huge amount of potatoes from France.... and then export them to Ireland ! I wonder, when you take away the "convenience" of moving goods through the UK, how much of the items we "import" is actually just passing through.

Away from the restriction on trade imposed by the EU the UK can look to new markets. New Zealand, for example, a country we had to turn our back on when we joined the EU and we can also look to their experiences in setting up free trade deals with new trading partners. Something they had to do after we abandoned them due to EU rules and regulations.

We may have to look at NTBs and tariffs because, currently our NTBs are all imposed on us by the EU the UK has the chance to open up new markets outside the EU with countries and goods that have been previously excluded for no good reason. Leaving the EU gives the UK a freedom to build trade links across the world. Who knows, maybe we'll even be able to get decent tyres again ! NTBs such as CE marking will be optional although I assume that unless there is a specific reason not to, the UK will continue to align with them to simplify import/export so maybe we will have to put up with rubbish tyres anyway.

Given the current EU stance I expect we will drop out without a deal, if we leave, because the EU want the UK to choose between "no deal" and staying in the EU without representation. Ironically, Ireland are the biggest block to a deal and, at the same time, are predicting that a no deal Brexit will put Ireland into recession. I suspect the EU and Ireland are assuming and hoping that forcing a "no deal" will actually result in the UK postponing article 50 indefinitely. If they're honest, that is pretty much the intention of Westminster and those who don't want the UK to leave the EU. If you cannot accept a democratic decision then simply stall it and hope it goes away or try and force subsequent votes until you get the result you want.... I seem to recall the EU has a history of that particular tactic.

I worry for what the UK will become after/if it leaves the EU. I've always had a bit of a patriotic streak, too many war movies perhaps, maybe trailing around Germany as a kid when my dad was serving in the army. As long as I can remember I've been proud of the UK, proud to be a part of a country with a strong heritage, history and culture that has never willingly bowed down to external tyranny (leaving aside the internal ones !). The "remain" view seems to be that the UK is incapable of making it's own decisions, surviving without somehow being propped up by the EU. To suddenly find out that a good majority of the people resident in the UK have no pride in their country and no positive view of it's capabilities saddens me. It's ironic that the most rabid "remainers" are also Scottish nationalists, I've still not figured that one out. If we leave the EU and the "remainers" and "leavers" refuse to "pull together" to support the UK then, frankly, the remainers will prevent us moving forward and, in the end, will fulfil their own worst prophesies. If we don't leave the EU, what does that say about the democratic process and our political systems moving forward ? The wounds will probably take some time to heal, either that or we'll end up in a second civil war.

Finally, the UK has been a reluctantly accepted member of the EU club for a lot of years now. Originally we were blocked from joining because we were seen as a financial threat to France in particular and the EU was, after all, set up for the convenience of France and Germany. The conditions for joining included reducing our agriculture and fisheries output so that France could compete and we had to pay an ever increasing "membership fee" to make sure other countries could compete with the UK by using UK money to subsidise them. For all the talk of our "partners" and "friends" in the EU, I think we've seen from the Brexit process that nothing has changed since the early days. The EU has shown it's true colours and anyone who considers it's members as "friends" of the UK should have had a reality check. The EU is still a protectionist bullying organisation with aspirations of a "1000 year empire". The thought that a country might not want to be part of their empire reveals their true nature and it isn't a pretty sight. That in itself makes me think more and more that, regardless of the short term pain, the UK is better off walking away.


Perfectly put Thumbs Up Ray
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Post #755261 31st Jan 2019 2:27pm
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lozza



Member Since: 13 Oct 2016
Location: oxfordshire
Posts: 190

So margin was 1.9% which is not exactly a massive margin.

so all you remainers would be up in arms for a "peoples vote"if you had won by this amount?
Post #755272 31st Jan 2019 3:33pm
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Zed



Member Since: 07 Oct 2017
Location: In the woods
Posts: 3310

United Kingdom 2010 Defender 110 Puma 2.4 XS CSW Santorini Black
Birdy wrote:
"Never mind Dunkirk"

Dunkirk? Isn't that the place where the French held off the Germans - at a cost of 16,000 killed and over 30,000 captured - to give the remnants of the British Army time to run away? Leaving half their country occupied by Nazis? The British only returning when the Americans thought they'd better step in to avoid the whole of Europe being overrun by Russia?

There are many ways of interpreting history...

Peter


A huge military defeat later spun by politicians to be a victory.

One of my relatives managed to make it home off the beach. He would absolutely flip his lid if anyone mentioned Dunkirk spirit.
Post #755291 31st Jan 2019 5:21pm
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